SafePedicures Research — Texas licensing data
Nearly 1 in 5 Texas cosmetology establishment licenses on the state roster is past its expiration date
14,033 of 71,213 cosmetology establishment licenses — about 1 in 5 — were past their expiration date when TDLR generated its roster (2026-07-16)
Texas rule is blunt about what an expired license means for a business: per TDLR, "an establishment whose license has expired may not continue to offer services to clients." Texas also gives owners a long runway to fix it — late renewal at escalating fees for up to three years (past 18 months, only with executive-director approval) — which is why expired records remain on the roster.
For consumers there's one practical takeaway, and it costs nothing: read the expiration date on the license posted at the front desk. It is the single easiest public fact to check before you book.
How far past expiration?
| Time past expiration (at roster date) | Licenses | Share of expired |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3 months | 2,900 | 21% |
| 3–6 months | 2,456 | 18% |
| 6–12 months | 4,099 | 29% |
| Over 12 months | 4,578 | 33% |
Most expired records are recent — consistent with ordinary renewal lag rather than mass abandonment. But 4,578 licenses on the roster had been expired for more than a year.
Where expired records cluster
| County | Establishment licenses | Past expiration | Share |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas County | 7,367 | 1,641 | 22.3% |
| El Paso County | 1,637 | 358 | 21.9% |
| Hidalgo County | 1,985 | 418 | 21.1% |
| Cameron County | 803 | 167 | 20.8% |
| Bell County | 826 | 170 | 20.6% |
| Tarrant County | 6,626 | 1,357 | 20.5% |
| Harris County | 11,491 | 2,329 | 20.3% |
| Collin County | 3,757 | 762 | 20.3% |
| McLennan County | 586 | 119 | 20.3% |
| Nueces County | 743 | 147 | 19.8% |
| Fort Bend County | 2,012 | 397 | 19.7% |
| Brazoria County | 838 | 161 | 19.2% |
| Williamson County | 1,786 | 340 | 19% |
| Comal County | 534 | 101 | 18.9% |
| Montgomery County | 1,547 | 292 | 18.9% |
| Bexar County | 4,813 | 901 | 18.7% |
| Lubbock County | 846 | 158 | 18.7% |
| Jefferson County | 539 | 100 | 18.6% |
| Travis County | 3,183 | 578 | 18.2% |
| Galveston County | 839 | 147 | 17.5% |
| Smith County | 590 | 103 | 17.5% |
| Denton County | 2,046 | 340 | 16.6% |
The renewal wave now underway
Separately from the already-expired records: 12,707 establishment licenses — 17.8% of the roster — come up for renewal between July and December 2026, and another 29,286in 2027. If you are checking a salon's posted license this year, there is roughly a 1-in-5 chance its renewal date falls in the next six months.
Methodology
Source: Texas Department of Licensing & Regulation (TDLR), "TDLR - All Licenses" open dataset, dataset 7358-krk7. TDLR last regenerated the dataset on 2026-07-16; we retrieved our snapshot on 2026-08-02. County populations: U.S. Census Bureau, Vintage 2024 County Population Estimates (co-est2024-alldata.csv) (retrieved 2026-07-01).
Query logic:we downloaded every row whose license type is one of TDLR's cosmetology establishment classes (Full Service Establishment, Mini Establishment, Manicurist/Esthetician Establishment, Esthetician Establishment, Manicurist Establishment, Eyelash Extension Establishment, Mobile Establishment), kept the 71,213 rows with a parseable Texas business address (of 71,350 downloaded; 33 out-of-state and 104unparseable-address rows excluded), and computed all expiry figures against the dataset's own generation date. "Nail-specialty" means the Manicurist Establishment and Manicurist/Esthetician Establishment license classes. County analyses use TDLR business_county reconciled to Census county names; rows with blank or OUT OF STATE county are excluded from county tables (but included in statewide totals).
Late-renewal rules cited from TDLR's establishment renewal page (retrieved 2026-08-02).
Limitations:
- TDLR last regenerated this dataset on 2026-07-16; all "expired as of" figures are computed against that date, not the retrieval date (2026-08-02). A license shown as expired may have been renewed after the file was generated.
- The dataset has no license-status field, no issue dates, and no disciplinary or inspection data. Nothing here measures cleanliness, inspection results, or safety.
- An expired license on the roster does not mean the business is operating: it may have closed, relocated, or renewed after the file date. Texas allows late renewal (with higher fees) for up to three years after expiration.
- Nail-specialty counts cover the Manicurist Establishment and Manicurist/Esthetician Establishment license classes only. Full Service Establishments may also offer nail services, so these figures undercount where nail services are available.
- Counts are of licenses on the roster, not confirmed open businesses.
Every figure on this page is computed by scripts/research/analyze-tdlr.mjs from the committed snapshot data/research/tdlr-establishments-2026-08-02.json.gz— the analysis is re-runnable end to end. Cite as: "SafePedicures analysis of TDLR licensing data, 2026-08-02" with a link to this page.
Data update history
When we refresh the snapshot and a published figure changes, the change is recorded here with the prior value — numbers on these pages are never silently replaced.
- 2026-08-02 — Snapshot refreshed (TDLR file dated 2026-07-16). 8 tracked figure(s) changed; prior values archived below.
- establishment licenses (statewide): 71250 → 71213
- nail-specialty licenses: 8580 → 8531
- licenses past expiration: 13249 → 14033
- share past expiration (%): 18.6 → 19.7
- renewals due Jul–Dec 2026: 13872 → 12707
- counties without a nail-specialty license: 61 → 62
- population in those counties: 244382 → 245908
- Mini Establishment share (%): 30.7 → 30.3
- 2026-07-01 — First publication. All figures computed from the initial statewide snapshot (71,402 establishment-class rows; TDLR last regenerated the dataset 2026-04-12).
Related
We publish the license record — number, type, and expiration on file — for individual salons in Houston, San Antonio, Dallas, Austin, Fort Worth and Plano. Or take the free safety checklist with you.
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